Rural demand to assist financial restoration however can’t substitute for city demand: Report

Mumbai, August 28

Rural demand can contribute in direction of restoration within the economic system however can’t be an alternative choice to city demand, in accordance with a report.

While the commercial and companies sectors are nonetheless struggling to get well from the hostile influence of COVID-19, the agriculture sector might develop into an engine for financial restoration, India Ratings and Research stated in a report.

It, nevertheless, stated a big a part of the agricultural demand, however the encouraging gross sales variety of bikes/tractors in June 2020, comes from shopper non-durables.

“Since the share of agriculture in the country’s gross value added is about 17 per cent, we believe rural demand at best can extend support to consumption demand, but cannot be a substitute for urban demand,” the ranking company stated in a report.

It expects the primary quarter 2020-21 GDP progress to come back in at adverse 17.03 per cent. The present account within the June quarter is predicted to document a surplus of round USD 18 billion.

The report stated one sector that has largely not been impacted both in the course of the lockdown and even thereafter is agriculture. The company expects the agriculture sector to develop at 3.5 per cent year-on-year in 2020-21.

After a number of years, the agricultural sector has witnessed three consecutive good harvests—rabi 2019, kharif 2019 and rabi 2020.

Moreover, the satisfactory pre-monsoon rainfall adopted by the well timed arrival of monsoons in most elements of the nation has led to a rise within the whole kharif sowing space in 2020 compared to the final yr.

As per the newest information obtainable, the precise rainfall throughout June 1-August 25, 2020, for the nation as an entire has been 7.four per cent above the conventional, and the whole space sown below kharif crops as on August 14 stood at 101.6 million hectare (mha), a y-o-y enhance of 8.5 per cent.

“The rainfall and area sown so far indicate that the country is headed towards a good 2020 kharif harvest, notwithstanding the floods in several areas,” the report stated.

However, the flip aspect of excessive agricultural manufacturing ranges may very well be decrease costs of agricultural commodities impacting agricultural earnings itself.

The authorities, due to this fact, must have a well-crafted technique in place, each to constantly monitor the progress of the kharif crop and stop the distressed sale of kharif harvest, the report stated.

Besides agricultural output, it’s believed that many manufacturing unit staff who returned to their rural hometowns within the wake of nationwide lockdown will add to the agricultural demand, it stated. PTI


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